"A rough estimation would suggest that 2020's wheat harvest will be 12% lower than in 2019," continues Professor Tiffin. "Barley is likely to be down 5%."
Agrimetrics are keen to emphasise that their calculation is only based on a sample of fields and their AI is not 100% accurate, especially this early in the season. However, they are confident that the trend observed is correct and that their AI is the most accurate currently available.
"These numbers are significant enough to impact the UK's domestic food supply," concludes Professor Tiffin. "80%
of the grain used by UK millers comes from UK farms – and 95% of that is winter wheat. Millers are going to have to look to overseas suppliers, which isn't ideal in the current climate."
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